BNFL Picks

Packers at Jets

Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Board
Packers logo
Packers
24
Projected total
38
Packers by 10 · 77%
Jets logo
Jets
14

Post-game review

See what the model predicted, what actually happened, and the small dial changes that would have closed the gap.

My line vs the book

Spread (NYJ)
Total
My line
+10.0
38
Book line
+3.5
44.5
Difference
6.5
6.5 Under
Line from DraftKingsCLV — (enter a closing line on Odds & CLV)

Notable injuries

Quarterbacks always shown; other spots when the tag matters
Packers logoPackers0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Jets logoJets0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Rushing projection

116.7
rush yds/gm
125.0
135.3
opp rush allowed
117.1
126.0
midpoint
121.0
135.5
projected rush
125.1
+18.8
comfort
+0.1
117.1
yds per rush TD
172.0
1.16 → 1
rush TDs
0.73 → 0

Passing projection

235.6
pass yds/gm
166.8
221.3
opp pass allowed
203.5
228.5
midpoint
185.2
231.8
projected pass
152.2
-3.8
comfort
-14.5
151.3
yds per pass TD
200.8
1.53 → 1
pass TDs
0.76 → 1

Field goals & totals

204.1
yds per FG
169.0
1.80 → 2
field goals
1.64 → 2
367.3
total yards proj
277.3
386.3
swing-adjusted yds
277.4
24.22
raw points
15.32

Turnover pressure

2.2
def sacks/gm
1.6
0.4
def INT/gm
0.0
0.9
turnovers proj
0.3
+0.8
pressure adj
0.0
24
final score
14