NFL Picks — Projected Scores & Spread Edges

Kickoff

Fri, Sep 18, 12:15 AM

Market

BUF -5.5 · 54.5(DraftKings)

DetroitLions1-1RiskHigh

0% win

BuffaloBills2-0RiskMedium

64% win

Line

Spread (BUF)

Total

My line

-5.0

Book

-5.5

54.5

Diff

0.5

2.5 O

Result vs my modelFinal DET 31 – BUF 41

My scoreDET 26 – BUF 31off by 5.0 margin · 15.0 total

MoneylineBUFWin

SpreadDET +5.5Loss

TotalOver 54.5Win

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Lions +5.5 Total: Over 54.5 Moneyline: Bills

Locked play

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Market

TB -8.5 · 41.5(DraftKings)

ClevelandBrowns1-1RiskMedium

0% win

Tampa BayBuccaneers0-1RiskMedium

67% win

Line

Spread (TB)

Total

My line

-6.0

Book

-8.5

41.5

Diff

2.5

7.5 U

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Browns +8.5 Total: Under 41.5 Moneyline: Buccaneers

Locked play

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Market

ATL +2.5 · 43.5(DraftKings)

CarolinaPanthers1-1RiskLow

0% win

AtlantaFalcons1-2RiskLow

64% win

Line

Spread (ATL)

Total

My line

-5.0

Book

+2.5

43.5

Diff

7.5

2.5 U

Result vs my modelFinal CAR 34 – ATL 3

My scoreCAR 18 – ATL 23off by 36.0 margin · 4.0 total

MoneylineATLLoss

SpreadATL +2.5Loss

TotalUnder 43.5Win

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Falcons +2.5 Total: Under 43.5 Moneyline: Falcons

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Market

CHI -4.5 · 46.5(DraftKings)

MinnesotaVikings2-0RiskLow

0% win

ChicagoBears1-1RiskHigh

53% win

Line

Spread (CHI)

Total

My line

-1.0

Book

-4.5

46.5

Diff

3.5

0.5 O

Result vs my modelFinal MIN 9 – CHI 3

My scoreMIN 23 – CHI 24off by 7.0 margin · 35.0 total

MoneylineCHILoss

SpreadMIN +4.5Win

TotalOver 46.5Loss

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Vikings +4.5 Total: Over 46.5 Moneyline: Bears

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Market

TEN +7.0 · 39.5(DraftKings)

PhiladelphiaEagles2-0RiskHigh

70% win

TennesseeTitans0-2RiskLow

0% win

Line

Spread (TEN)

Total

My line

+7.0

Book

+7.0

39.5

Diff

0.0

4.5 U

Result vs my modelFinal PHI 24 – TEN 20

My scorePHI 21 – TEN 14off by 3.0 margin · 9.0 total

MoneylinePHIWin

SpreadPHI -7Loss

TotalUnder 39.5Loss

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Eagles -7 Total: Under 39.5 Moneyline: Eagles

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Market

NE -4.5 · 41.5(DraftKings)

PittsburghSteelers1-2RiskMedium

0% win

New EnglandPatriots1-1RiskHigh

70% win

Line

Spread (NE)

Total

My line

-7.0

Book

-4.5

41.5

Diff

2.5

5.5 O

Result vs my modelFinal PIT 3 – NE 20

My scorePIT 20 – NE 27off by 10.0 margin · 24.0 total

MoneylineNEWin

SpreadNE -4.5Win

TotalOver 41.5Loss

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Patriots -4.5 Total: Over 41.5 Moneyline: Patriots

Locked play

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Market

NYJ +3.5 · 44.5(DraftKings)

Green BayPackers1-2RiskLow

77% win

New YorkJets1-1RiskHigh

0% win

Line

Spread (NYJ)

Total

My line

+10.0

Book

+3.5

44.5

Diff

6.5

6.5 U

Result vs my modelFinal GB 20 – NYJ 17

My scoreGB 24 – NYJ 14off by 7.0 margin · 1.0 total

MoneylineGBWin

SpreadGB -3.5Loss

TotalUnder 44.5Win

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Packers -3.5 Total: Under 44.5 Moneyline: Packers — Lock

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Market

BAL -8.5 · 45.5(DraftKings)

New OrleansSaints1-1RiskMedium

0% win

BaltimoreRavens1-1RiskLow

70% win

Line

Spread (BAL)

Total

My line

-7.0

Book

-8.5

45.5

Diff

1.5

0.5 U

Result vs my modelFinal NO 24 – BAL 17

My scoreNO 19 – BAL 26off by 14.0 margin · 4.0 total

MoneylineBALLoss

SpreadNO +8.5Win

TotalUnder 45.5Win

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Saints +8.5 Total: Under 45.5 Moneyline: Ravens

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Market

HOU -3.0 · 45.5(DraftKings)

CincinnatiBengals2-0RiskLow

0% win

HoustonTexans0-2RiskLow

67% win

Line

Spread (HOU)

Total

My line

-6.0

Book

-3.0

45.5

Diff

3.0

2.5 O

Result vs my modelFinal CIN 20 – HOU 6

My scoreCIN 21 – HOU 27off by 20.0 margin · 22.0 total

MoneylineHOULoss

SpreadHOU -3Loss

TotalOver 45.5Loss

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Texans -3 Total: Over 45.5 Moneyline: Texans

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 8:05 PM

Market

DEN -2.5 · 45.5(DraftKings)

Last meeting · Dec 21, 2025JAX 34–DEN 20at DEN

JacksonvilleJaguars1-0RiskLow

59% win

DenverBroncos0-1RiskLow

0% win

Line

Spread (DEN)

Total

My line

+3.0

Book

-2.5

45.5

Diff

5.5

2.5 U

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Jaguars +2.5 Total: Under 45.5 Moneyline: Jaguars

Locked play

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 8:05 PM

Market

LAC -6.5 · 43.5(DraftKings)

Last meeting · Nov 30, 2025LV 14–LAC 31at LAC

Las VegasRaiders1-0RiskHigh

0% win

Los AngelesChargers0-1RiskMedium

77% win

Line

Spread (LAC)

Total

My line

-10.0

Book

-6.5

43.5

Diff

3.5

11.5 U

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Chargers -6.5 Total: Under 43.5 Moneyline: Chargers — Lock

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 8:25 PM

Market

DAL -4.5 · 51.5(DraftKings)

Last meeting · Dec 25, 2025DAL 30–WSH 23at WSH

WashingtonCommanders0-1RiskLow

0% win

DallasCowboys0-1RiskLow

70% win

Line

Spread (DAL)

Total

My line

-7.0

Book

-4.5

51.5

Diff

2.5

3.5 O

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Cowboys -4.5 Total: Over 51.5 Moneyline: Cowboys

Locked play

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 8:25 PM

Market

ARI +3.5 · 40.5(DraftKings)

Last meeting · Nov 9, 2025ARI 22–SEA 44at SEA

SeattleSeahawks1-0RiskLow

70% win

ArizonaCardinals1-0RiskLow

0% win

Line

Spread (ARI)

Total

My line

+7.0

Book

+3.5

40.5

Diff

3.5

6.5 O

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Seahawks -3.5 Total: Over 40.5 Moneyline: Seahawks

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 8:25 PM

Market

SF -12.5 · 44.5(DraftKings)

MiamiDolphins0-1RiskMedium

0% win

San Francisco49ers1-0RiskMedium

72% win

Line

Spread (SF)

Total

My line

-8.0

Book

-12.5

44.5

Diff

4.5

3.5 O

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Dolphins +12.5 Total: Over 44.5 Moneyline: 49ers — Lock

Kickoff

Mon, Sep 21, 12:20 AM

Market

KC -6.0 · 46.5(DraftKings)

Last meeting · Nov 23, 2025IND 20–KC 23at KC

IndianapolisColts0-1RiskLow

0% win

Kansas CityChiefs1-0RiskMedium

50% win

Line

Spread (KC)

Total

My line

0.0

Book

-6.0

46.5

Diff

6.0

1.5 O

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Colts +6 Total: Over 46.5

Kickoff

Tue, Sep 22, 12:15 AM

Market

LAR -6.5 · 47.5(DraftKings)

New YorkGiants1-0RiskHigh

0% win

Los AngelesRams0-1RiskMedium

79% win

Line

Spread (LAR)

Total

My line

-11.0

Book

-6.5

47.5

Diff

4.5

3.5 O

Source: DraftKingsCLV —

Spread: Rams -6.5 Total: Over 47.5 Moneyline: Rams — Lock

Week 2 Board