BNFL Picks

Raiders at Chargers

Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 8:05 PM

Board
Raiders logo
Raiders
11
Projected total
32
Chargers by 10 · 77%
Chargers logo
Chargers
21

Point adjustments

Everything the weights added or took off on top of the raw box-score projection.

LV
adjustment
LAC
0.00
Injuries — own offense
0.00
0.00
Injuries — opponent defense
0.00
−1.17
Game-fixing risk
0.00
+0.14
Hot / cold form
−0.14
−0.88
Turnover pressure
0.00
0.00
Home field
+1.38
−1.90
net points
+1.24

My line vs the book

Spread (LAC)
Total
My line
-10.0
32
Book line
-6.5
43.5
Difference
3.5
11.5 Under
Line from DraftKingsCLV — (enter a closing line on Odds & CLV)

Notable injuries

Quarterbacks always shown; other spots when the tag matters
Raiders logoRaiders0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Chargers logoChargers0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Rushing projection

80.6
rush yds/gm
119.2
106.0
opp rush allowed
114.3
93.3
midpoint
116.8
74.3
projected rush
116.4
-6.3
comfort
-2.8
290.8
yds per rush TD
194.7
0.26 → 0
rush TDs
0.60 → 0

Passing projection

192.9
pass yds/gm
231.1
199.8
opp pass allowed
214.7
196.4
midpoint
222.9
171.2
projected pass
220.7
-21.7
comfort
-10.5
150.3
yds per pass TD
154.3
1.14 → 1
pass TDs
1.43 → 1

Field goals & totals

204.7
yds per FG
166.6
1.20 → 1
field goals
2.02 → 2
245.5
total yards proj
337.0
245.5
swing-adjusted yds
337.0
13.36
raw points
20.27

Turnover pressure

2.3
def sacks/gm
2.6
0.5
def INT/gm
1.1
1.1
turnovers proj
2.1
-0.9
pressure adj
0.0
11
final score
21