BNFL Picks

Commanders at Cowboys

Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 8:25 PM

Board
Commanders logo
Commanders
24
Projected total
55
Cowboys by 7 · 70%
Cowboys logo
Cowboys
31

Point adjustments

Everything the weights added or took off on top of the raw box-score projection.

WSH
adjustment
DAL
0.00
Injuries — own offense
0.00
0.00
Injuries — opponent defense
0.00
0.00
Game-fixing risk
0.00
−0.14
Hot / cold form
−0.14
+0.38
Turnover pressure
−0.38
0.00
Home field
+1.38
+0.23
net points
+0.86

My line vs the book

Spread (DAL)
Total
My line
-7.0
55
Book line
-4.5
51.5
Difference
2.5
3.5 Over
Line from DraftKingsCLV — (enter a closing line on Odds & CLV)

Notable injuries

Quarterbacks always shown; other spots when the tag matters
Commanders logoCommanders0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Cowboys logoCowboys0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Rushing projection

134.6
rush yds/gm
122.3
127.8
opp rush allowed
141.5
131.2
midpoint
131.9
146.9
projected rush
148.5
+12.4
comfort
+26.2
115.4
yds per rush TD
115.9
1.27 → 1
rush TDs
1.28 → 1

Passing projection

193.9
pass yds/gm
272.4
263.8
opp pass allowed
253.9
228.9
midpoint
263.2
232.6
projected pass
307.6
+38.7
comfort
+35.1
165.9
yds per pass TD
148.5
1.40 → 1
pass TDs
2.07 → 2

Field goals & totals

246.6
yds per FG
198.1
1.54 → 2
field goals
2.30 → 2
379.5
total yards proj
456.1
401.9
swing-adjusted yds
493.2
23.35
raw points
30.37

Turnover pressure

2.5
def sacks/gm
2.1
0.4
def INT/gm
0.3
1.0
turnovers proj
0.7
+0.4
pressure adj
-0.4
24
final score
31