BNFL Picks

Browns at Buccaneers

Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Board
Browns logo
Browns
14
Projected total
34
Buccaneers by 6 · 67%
Buccaneers logo
Buccaneers
20

Point adjustments

Everything the weights added or took off on top of the raw box-score projection.

CLE
adjustment
TB
0.00
Injuries — own offense
0.00
0.00
Injuries — opponent defense
0.00
−0.11
Game-fixing risk
0.00
−0.14
Hot / cold form
−0.14
−0.38
Turnover pressure
−0.75
0.00
Home field
+1.38
−0.63
net points
+0.49

My line vs the book

Spread (TB)
Total
My line
-6.0
34
Book line
-8.5
41.5
Difference
2.5
7.5 Under
Line from DraftKingsCLV — (enter a closing line on Odds & CLV)

Notable injuries

Quarterbacks always shown; other spots when the tag matters
Browns logoBrowns0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Buccaneers logoBuccaneers0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Rushing projection

96.4
rush yds/gm
113.0
99.5
opp rush allowed
117.0
97.9
midpoint
115.0
81.9
projected rush
112.9
-14.5
comfort
-0.1
174.2
yds per rush TD
134.9
0.47 → 0
rush TDs
0.84 → 1

Passing projection

186.6
pass yds/gm
220.6
254.8
opp pass allowed
192.7
220.7
midpoint
206.6
216.2
projected pass
189.6
+29.7
comfort
-31.0
197.5
yds per pass TD
153.3
1.09 → 1
pass TDs
1.24 → 1

Field goals & totals

203.9
yds per FG
176.6
1.46 → 1
field goals
1.71 → 2
298.1
total yards proj
302.5
305.8
swing-adjusted yds
302.5
15.34
raw points
19.66

Turnover pressure

3.0
def sacks/gm
2.1
0.6
def INT/gm
0.8
1.0
turnovers proj
1.5
-0.4
pressure adj
-0.8
14
final score
20