BNFL Picks

Dolphins at 49ers

Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 8:25 PM

Board
Dolphins logo
Dolphins
20
Projected total
48
49ers by 8 · 72%
49ers logo
49ers
28

Point adjustments

Everything the weights added or took off on top of the raw box-score projection.

MIA
adjustment
SF
0.00
Injuries — own offense
0.00
0.00
Injuries — opponent defense
0.00
−0.17
Game-fixing risk
0.00
−0.14
Hot / cold form
+0.14
+0.88
Turnover pressure
−0.38
0.00
Home field
+1.38
+0.56
net points
+1.15

My line vs the book

Spread (SF)
Total
My line
-8.0
48
Book line
-12.5
44.5
Difference
4.5
3.5 Over
Line from DraftKingsCLV — (enter a closing line on Odds & CLV)

Notable injuries

Quarterbacks always shown; other spots when the tag matters
Dolphins logoDolphins0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

49ers logo49ers0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Rushing projection

117.5
rush yds/gm
110.8
108.7
opp rush allowed
132.3
113.1
midpoint
121.6
109.2
projected rush
126.1
-8.3
comfort
+15.3
140.9
yds per rush TD
133.4
0.78 → 1
rush TDs
0.95 → 1

Passing projection

196.9
pass yds/gm
251.1
237.4
opp pass allowed
226.4
217.1
midpoint
238.8
209.4
projected pass
253.2
+12.5
comfort
+2.1
154.6
yds per pass TD
125.3
1.35 → 1
pass TDs
2.02 → 2

Field goals & totals

195.0
yds per FG
186.1
1.63 → 2
field goals
2.04 → 2
318.6
total yards proj
379.3
322.3
swing-adjusted yds
397.1
19.81
raw points
26.87

Turnover pressure

2.2
def sacks/gm
1.1
0.6
def INT/gm
0.4
1.3
turnovers proj
0.8
+0.9
pressure adj
-0.4
20
final score
28