BNFL Picks

Panthers at Falcons

Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM

Board
Panthers logo
Panthers
18
Projected total
41
Falcons by 5 · 64%
Falcons logo
Falcons
23

Post-game review

See what the model predicted, what actually happened, and the small dial changes that would have closed the gap.

My line vs the book

Spread (ATL)
Total
My line
-5.0
41
Book line
+2.5
43.5
Difference
7.5
2.5 Under
Line from DraftKingsCLV — (enter a closing line on Odds & CLV)

Notable injuries

Quarterbacks always shown; other spots when the tag matters
Panthers logoPanthers0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Falcons logoFalcons0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Rushing projection

116.8
rush yds/gm
125.4
122.2
opp rush allowed
133.2
119.5
midpoint
129.3
122.0
projected rush
142.7
+5.1
comfort
+17.3
189.7
yds per rush TD
133.3
0.64 → 0
rush TDs
1.07 → 1

Passing projection

204.2
pass yds/gm
213.4
221.9
opp pass allowed
218.3
213.0
midpoint
215.9
201.5
projected pass
206.9
-2.7
comfort
-6.5
135.6
yds per pass TD
192.2
1.49 → 1
pass TDs
1.08 → 1

Field goals & totals

231.3
yds per FG
179.3
1.40 → 1
field goals
1.95 → 2
323.5
total yards proj
349.6
328.0
swing-adjusted yds
364.3
19.10
raw points
20.88

Turnover pressure

1.8
def sacks/gm
3.3
0.8
def INT/gm
0.9
0.8
turnovers proj
1.4
-0.9
pressure adj
0.0
18
final score
23