BNFL Picks

Jaguars at Broncos

Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 8:05 PM

Board
Jaguars logo
Jaguars
23
Projected total
43
Jaguars by 3 · 59%
Broncos logo
Broncos
20

Point adjustments

Everything the weights added or took off on top of the raw box-score projection.

JAX
adjustment
DEN
0.00
Injuries — own offense
0.00
0.00
Injuries — opponent defense
0.00
0.00
Game-fixing risk
0.00
+0.14
Hot / cold form
−0.14
−0.88
Turnover pressure
−0.88
0.00
Home field
+1.38
−0.73
net points
+0.36

My line vs the book

Spread (DEN)
Total
My line
+3.0
43
Book line
-2.5
45.5
Difference
5.5
2.5 Under
Line from DraftKingsCLV — (enter a closing line on Odds & CLV)

Notable injuries

Quarterbacks always shown; other spots when the tag matters
Jaguars logoJaguars0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Broncos logoBroncos0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Rushing projection

115.7
rush yds/gm
115.3
98.6
opp rush allowed
85.7
107.2
midpoint
100.5
98.1
projected rush
86.2
-17.6
comfort
-29.1
95.0
yds per rush TD
115.7
1.03 → 1
rush TDs
0.75 → 0

Passing projection

237.3
pass yds/gm
225.3
210.5
opp pass allowed
229.8
223.9
midpoint
227.6
222.6
projected pass
230.0
-14.7
comfort
+4.6
128.9
yds per pass TD
156.2
1.73 → 1
pass TDs
1.47 → 1

Field goals & totals

198.4
yds per FG
211.7
1.62 → 2
field goals
1.49 → 1
320.6
total yards proj
316.2
320.6
swing-adjusted yds
317.4
24.16
raw points
20.00

Turnover pressure

2.1
def sacks/gm
3.9
1.3
def INT/gm
0.6
1.2
turnovers proj
1.4
-0.9
pressure adj
-0.9
23
final score
20