BNFL Picks

Colts at Chiefs

Week 2 · Mon, Sep 21, 12:20 AM

Board
Colts logo
Colts
24
Projected total
48
Chiefs by 0 · 50%
Chiefs logo
Chiefs
24

Point adjustments

Everything the weights added or took off on top of the raw box-score projection.

IND
adjustment
KC
0.00
Injuries — own offense
0.00
0.00
Injuries — opponent defense
0.00
0.00
Game-fixing risk
0.00
−0.14
Hot / cold form
+0.14
−0.38
Turnover pressure
−0.38
0.00
Home field
+1.38
−0.52
net points
+1.15

My line vs the book

Spread (KC)
Total
My line
0.0
48
Book line
-6.0
46.5
Difference
6.0
1.5 Over
Line from DraftKingsCLV — (enter a closing line on Odds & CLV)

Notable injuries

Quarterbacks always shown; other spots when the tag matters
Colts logoColts0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Chiefs logoChiefs0 listed · 0 sidelined

No notable injuries reported.

Rushing projection

117.1
rush yds/gm
113.3
103.1
opp rush allowed
107.8
110.1
midpoint
110.5
103.5
projected rush
104.3
-13.6
comfort
-9.0
72.6
yds per rush TD
119.4
1.42 → 1
rush TDs
0.87 → 1

Passing projection

235.9
pass yds/gm
229.3
200.8
opp pass allowed
266.1
218.3
midpoint
247.7
211.7
projected pass
272.5
-24.2
comfort
+43.1
163.5
yds per pass TD
164.9
1.29 → 1
pass TDs
1.65 → 1

Field goals & totals

181.7
yds per FG
181.7
1.73 → 2
field goals
2.07 → 2
315.2
total yards proj
376.8
315.2
swing-adjusted yds
387.4
24.24
raw points
23.90

Turnover pressure

2.3
def sacks/gm
2.2
0.8
def INT/gm
0.6
1.1
turnovers proj
1.1
-0.4
pressure adj
-0.4
24
final score
24